Tropical Depression Fifteen Public Advisory Number 2

By | October 15, 2019

Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Oct 14 2019


000
WTNT35 KNHC 150240
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fifteen Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152019
1100 PM AST Mon Oct 14 2019

...POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY
RAINS TO THE EASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 20.8W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM ESE OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should closely monitor the
progress of the depression since a Tropical Storm Warning could be
required for a portion of the islands on Tuesday.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen
was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 20.8 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h),
and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday.
On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to
pass over or near the eastern Cabo Verde Islands on Tuesday, and
then move near or north of the central Cabo Verde Islands Tuesday
night and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Slight strengthening is possible during the next day or so,
and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on
Tuesday. Weakening is forecast to begin by Wednesday morning
when the cyclone will be moving away from the Cabo Verde Islands.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches across the Cabo Verde Islands, with
isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches in the higher terrain,
especially across the eastern portion of the islands. This rainfall
may cause flash flooding and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions could occur across the eastern
Cabo Verde Islands on Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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