641 WTNT22 KNHC 170232 TCMAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWENTY-TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222023 0300 UTC FRI NOV 17 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 81.1W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 81.1W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 81.4W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.9N 80.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.7N 77.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.8N 75.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.9N 71.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 27.6N 66.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 31.9N 62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 120SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 81.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 17/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI