Tropical Depression Four Forecast Advisory Number 3

000
WTNT24 KNHC 030249
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042024
0300 UTC SAT AUG 03 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  79.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  79.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  79.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.6N  81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.6N  83.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.6N  84.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 28.4N  84.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.9N  83.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.8N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 31.8N  80.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 32.8N  79.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  79.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 03/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG