000
FONT11 KNHC 221452
PWSAT1
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162023
1500 UTC FRI SEP 22 2023
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18)
DOVER DE 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 10(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 11(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X 13(13) 9(22) 5(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29)
CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 3 18(21) 10(31) 4(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 1 7( 8) 21(29) 8(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38)
WALLOPS CDA 34 10 19(29) 14(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 6( 6) 11(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
RICHMOND VA 34 3 23(26) 31(57) 4(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62)
RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DANVILLE VA 34 3 13(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
NORFOLK NAS 34 12 39(51) 17(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK VA 34 13 42(55) 14(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 34 30(64) 10(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
OCEANA NAS VA 50 X 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 47 34(81) 5(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
ELIZABETH CTY 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GREENSBORO NC 34 3 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
RALEIGH NC 34 22 31(53) 2(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
ROCKY MT NC 34 49 35(84) 4(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
ROCKY MT NC 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 82 11(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 1 19(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 55 12(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHERRY PT NC 34 97 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHERRY PT NC 50 1 24(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
CHERRY PT NC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
NEW RIVER NC 34 95 4(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW RIVER NC 50 7 44(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 95 4(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 6 45(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SURF CITY NC 34 94 4(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
SURF CITY NC 50 4 24(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
SURF CITY NC 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
WILMINGTON NC 34 96 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
WILMINGTON NC 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 92 2(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 3 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FLORENCE SC 34 15 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
LITTLE RIVER 34 70 3(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 58 4(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 28 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
CHARLESTON SC 34 16 3(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 6 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
