000
FONT13 KNHC 161453
PWSAT3
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2023
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 43.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
PTX BASQUES 34 4 11(15) 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
EDDY POINT NS 34 46 4(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
SYDNEY NS 34 17 8(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
SABLE ISLAND 34 22 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
HALIFAX NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HALIFAX NS 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
YARMOUTH NS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
YARMOUTH NS 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MONCTON NB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MONCTON NB 50 33 14(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
MONCTON NB 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ST JOHN NB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST JOHN NB 50 94 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
ST JOHN NB 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
EASTPORT ME 50 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
EASTPORT ME 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 16 X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
AUGUSTA ME 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PORTLAND ME 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NANTUCKET MA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
