325 FONT15 KNHC 191451 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023 1500 UTC THU OCT 19 2023 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 12(17) 3(20) X(20) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 17(25) 4(29) X(29) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SAINT JOHN 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 19(28) 4(32) X(32) SAINT JOHN 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) SAINT JOHN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 13(22) 3(25) X(25) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 32(40) 24(64) 1(65) X(65) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 20(32) 1(33) X(33) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) SABA 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 30(38) 17(55) 1(56) X(56) SABA 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 14(25) X(25) X(25) SABA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 34(44) 15(59) X(59) X(59) ST EUSTATIUS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 12(28) X(28) X(28) ST EUSTATIUS 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 36(51) 11(62) 1(63) X(63) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 9(31) 1(32) X(32) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12) BARBUDA 34 X 4( 4) 22(26) 42(68) 8(76) 1(77) X(77) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 7(38) X(38) X(38) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) ANTIGUA 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 38(57) 6(63) 1(64) X(64) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GUADELOUPE 34 1 6( 7) 43(50) 18(68) 3(71) X(71) X(71) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) 18(18) 19(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) AVES 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) 4(17) 1(18) X(18) DOMINICA 34 1 8( 9) 30(39) 8(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) 13(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X 4( 4) 16(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) SAINT LUCIA 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 2(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) SAINT VINCENT 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BARBADOS 34 1 8( 9) 3(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) GRENADA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN