Tropical Storm Philippe Wind Speed Probabilities Number 52

By | October 6, 2023

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FONT12 KNHC 060853
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  52         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023               
0900 UTC FRI OCT 06 2023                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)  31(31)   9(40)   X(40)   X(40)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  12(23)   X(23)   X(23)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  21(36)   X(36)   X(36)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  20(25)   X(25)   X(25)

AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   X(14)   X(14)

PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34 71  14(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
BERMUDA        50  5  11(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PAPIN                                                    

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