Tropical Storm Philippe Wind Speed Probabilities Number 46

By | October 4, 2023

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FONT12 KNHC 042038
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  46         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023               
2100 UTC WED OCT 04 2023                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  24(35)   X(35)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  24(28)   X(28)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  27(32)   X(32)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)

AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)

PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  41(45)   3(48)   X(48)   X(48)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     

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