046 WTNT22 KNHC 052050 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 2100 UTC THU OCT 05 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 66.2W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 66.2W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 66.3W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.2N 65.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 32.5N 65.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 35.5N 66.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 39.0N 66.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 43.8N 66.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 48.6N 71.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 300SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 66.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 06/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG