578 WTNT22 KNHC 290837 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 0900 UTC FRI SEP 29 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 55.2W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 60SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 55.2W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 55.1W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.3N 55.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.9N 55.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.4N 56.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.1N 56.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.1N 56.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.6N 57.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 20.0N 57.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 23.1N 58.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 55.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG