000
FONT11 KNHC 231450
PWSAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162023
1500 UTC SAT SEP 23 2023
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEWARK NJ 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
TRENTON NJ 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PHILADELPHIA 34 X 7( 7) 8(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 1 7( 8) 10(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
BALTIMORE MD 34 3 14(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
DOVER DE 34 6 19(25) 7(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 7 21(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
WASHINGTON DC 34 7 13(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 14 17(31) 6(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 36 7(43) 4(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 48 13(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
WALLOPS CDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
RICHMOND VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NORFOLK NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
RALEIGH NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ROCKY MT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHERRY PT NC 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW RIVER NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
