000 WTNT35 KNHC 190537 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nadine Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024 100 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORMS EAST OF BELIZE... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 86.4W ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM E OF BELIZE CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Belize has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from Belize City northward to the border with Mexico. The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from Tulum southward to the border with Belize, including Cozumel. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Belize City, Belize to Tulum, Mexico, including Cozumel A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. Interests elsewhere in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the disturbance over the northwestern Caribbean Sea has become a tropical storm. At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was centered near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 86.4 West. Nadine is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion should continue through tonight. On the forecast track, Nadine is expected to move inland along the coast of Belize later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional slight strengthening is possible before Nadine makes landfall later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) north of the center. A WeatherFlow station at Xel-Ha Park near Tulum, Mexico, recently measured a wind gust to 40 mph (65 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Nadine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml RAINFALL: Widespread 4 to 8 inch rainfall amounts are expected across northern Belize, northern Guatemala, and the southern states of Mexico from Quintana Roo westward to Veracruz. Isolated areas of amounts exceeding 12 inches are also possible through late Tuesday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Nadine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area today. STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore winds near and to the north of where the center moves inland. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg