Tropical Storm Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 17

By | September 30, 2024

000
WTNT25 KNHC 300239
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102024
0300 UTC MON SEP 30 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  32.8W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 130SE 140SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 540SE 420SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  32.8W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.1N  33.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 45.1N  30.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 46.7N  26.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 48.6N  24.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 50.7N  23.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...190NE 120SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 52.4N  22.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...160NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 54.4N  20.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...190NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.4N  32.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY


Leave a Reply