Tropical Storm Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 16

By | September 29, 2024

000
WTNT25 KNHC 292034
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102024
2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.8N  34.7W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 130SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 540SE 420SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.8N  34.7W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 43.5N  35.5W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.6N  32.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 45.8N  28.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 47.4N  25.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  40SE  20SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 49.3N  24.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...170NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 51.4N  23.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...160NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 53.1N  22.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...190NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 57.9N  17.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.8N  34.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/BLAKE


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