Tropical Storm Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 1

By | September 26, 2024

607 
WTNT25 KNHC 260257
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102024
0300 UTC THU SEP 26 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N  54.1W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N  54.1W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  54.7W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 37.1N  52.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 37.3N  49.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE  35SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 37.9N  46.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 38.8N  43.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 40.1N  39.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 41.4N  35.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 42.7N  29.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 130NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 42.5N  21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.1N  54.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN



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