Tropical Storm Helene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16

By | September 27, 2024

000
FONT14 KNHC 270854
PWSAT4

TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092024               
0900 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CHARLOTTE NC   34 10   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

COLUMBIA SC    34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)

LITTLE RIVER   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CHARLESTON SC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ATLANTA GA     34 77   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)

AUGUSTA GA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

SAVANNAH GA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

KINGS BAY GA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

WAYCROSS GA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

MAYPORT NS FL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

JACKSONVILLE   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

GAINESVILLE FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

DAYTONA BEACH  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

THE VILLAGES   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ORLANDO FL     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

CEDAR KEY FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ST MARKS FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ALBANY GA      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

COLUMBUS GA    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MACON GA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MACON GA       50 39   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
MACON GA       64  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    

Leave a Reply