Tropical Storm Debby Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22

By | August 7, 2024

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FONT14 KNHC 072045
PWSAT4

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042024               
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD         
2100 UTC WED AUG 07 2024                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ALBANY NY      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

DANVILLE VA    34  1   2( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GREENSBORO NC  34  1   3( 4)   8(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

RALEIGH NC     34  2   5( 7)   7(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

ROCKY MT NC    34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  7   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

FAYETTEVILLE   34 15  22(37)   4(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CHERRY PT NC   34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NEW RIVER NC   34 19   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

MOREHEAD CITY  34 22   3(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)

SURF CITY NC   34 44   5(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)

WILMINGTON NC  34 48   6(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)

BALD HEAD ISL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FLORENCE SC    34 29  26(55)   2(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
FLORENCE SC    50  1   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

COLUMBIA SC    34  4   9(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

LITTLE RIVER   34 79   9(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
LITTLE RIVER   50  4  10(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

MYRTLE BEACH   34 85   8(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
MYRTLE BEACH   50 12  15(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

GEORGETOWN SC  34 85   7(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
GEORGETOWN SC  50 13  22(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)

CHARLESTON SC  34 69  10(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
CHARLESTON SC  50 28   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34 44   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)

SAVANNAH GA    34  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

KINGS BAY GA   34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER REINHART                                          

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