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TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024
1500 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 8(10) 2(12)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) 1(12)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) X(11)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 6(15) 1(16)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 1(16) X(16)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) X(11)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 3(14) 3(17) X(17)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 15(19) 7(26) 1(27) X(27)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) X(16) X(16)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12)
NEW RIVER NC 34 2 5( 7) 10(17) 7(24) 4(28) 1(29) X(29)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 2 6( 8) 12(20) 7(27) 4(31) 1(32) X(32)
SURF CITY NC 34 4 10(14) 19(33) 12(45) 4(49) X(49) X(49)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 2 6( 8) 13(21) 11(32) 4(36) X(36) X(36)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 12 22(34) 21(55) 11(66) 4(70) X(70) X(70)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
FLORENCE SC 34 3 2( 5) 8(13) 22(35) 6(41) X(41) X(41)
FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBIA SC 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 14(17) 6(23) 1(24) X(24)
LITTLE RIVER 34 15 20(35) 22(57) 12(69) 5(74) X(74) X(74)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 2(17) 1(18) X(18)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 25 19(44) 19(63) 10(73) 4(77) X(77) X(77)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 50 2 4( 6) 6(12) 6(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 2 1( 3) 2( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11)
SAVANNAH GA 34 13 2(15) 3(18) 5(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
KINGS BAY GA 34 5 4( 9) 5(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 5 3( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
JACKSONVILLE 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PATRICK AFB 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FT PIERCE FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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