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FONT14 KNHC 042051
PWSAT4
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024
2100 UTC SUN AUG 04 2024
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 4(14)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) 4(17)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FLORENCE SC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 5(10) 5(15) 4(19)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 6(12) 6(18) 3(21)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 2(12)
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 8( 9) 5(14) 5(19) 7(26) 5(31) 3(34)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 16(19) 8(27) 7(34) 8(42) 3(45) 2(47)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
ATLANTA GA 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUGUSTA GA 34 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 1(12) 1(13)
SAVANNAH GA 34 3 9(12) 6(18) 5(23) 3(26) 2(28) 2(30)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 22 39(61) 6(67) 1(68) 2(70) X(70) 1(71)
KINGS BAY GA 50 1 12(13) 4(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20) 1(21)
KINGS BAY GA 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WAYCROSS GA 34 7 58(65) 7(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) 1(74)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X 30(30) 5(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
WAYCROSS GA 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 25 33(58) 6(64) 1(65) 2(67) 1(68) 1(69)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 1 9(10) 3(13) 2(15) 1(16) X(16) 1(17)
MAYPORT NS FL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
JACKSONVILLE 34 9 38(47) 4(51) 1(52) X(52) 1(53) X(53)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X 11(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 57 19(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) 1(77) X(77)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 12 17(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 6 8(14) 1(15) 1(16) X(16) 1(17) 1(18)
THE VILLAGES 34 36 9(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 1(47)
THE VILLAGES 50 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ORLANDO FL 34 7 4(11) 1(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 10 10(20) 3(23) 1(24) 1(25) 1(26) 1(27)
PATRICK AFB 34 11 10(21) 3(24) X(24) 1(25) 2(27) X(27)
FT PIERCE FL 34 6 6(12) 2(14) X(14) 1(15) 1(16) 1(17)
W PALM BEACH 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
MARATHON FL 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 6 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 1(12)
FT MYERS FL 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
VENICE FL 34 74 X(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
TAMPA FL 34 81 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) 1(83)
TAMPA FL 50 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 90 3(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 73 6(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 8 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 71 24(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 16 47(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ST MARKS FL 34 88 11(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST MARKS FL 50 49 30(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
ST MARKS FL 64 1 15(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
APALACHICOLA 34 90 3(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 1(94)
APALACHICOLA 50 54 13(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
APALACHICOLA 64 13 13(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 93 1(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 76 2(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 30 3(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 61 9(70) 1(71) X(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 7 9(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ALBANY GA 34 7 59(66) 4(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
ALBANY GA 50 X 22(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
ALBANY GA 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
COLUMBUS GA 34 2 10(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 1(15)
MACON GA 34 2 13(15) 6(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) 1(24)
DOTHAN AL 34 5 24(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) 1(32)
DOTHAN AL 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WHITING FLD FL 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PENSACOLA FL 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 7 5(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
MOBILE AL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GULFPORT MS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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