Tropical Storm Beryl Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38

By | July 8, 2024

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FONT12 KNHC 080254
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  38            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024               
0300 UTC MON JUL 08 2024                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

GFMX 280N 910W 34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GFMX 280N 930W 34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  1   4( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

FORT POLK LA   34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LAKE CHARLES   34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CAMERON LA     34 14   5(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

JASPER TX      34  4  15(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

KOUNTZE TX     34 19  24(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
KOUNTZE TX     50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34 15   8(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

GALVESTON TX   34 92   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
GALVESTON TX   50 28   3(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
GALVESTON TX   64  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HOUSTON TX     34 93   4(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
HOUSTON TX     50 43  13(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)

AUSTIN TX      34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FREEPORT TX    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FREEPORT TX    50 77   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
FREEPORT TX    64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

GFMX 280N 950W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 74   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 54   5(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  7   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

MATAGORDA TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MATAGORDA TX   50 88   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
MATAGORDA TX   64 10   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

PORT O CONNOR  34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
PORT O CONNOR  50 36   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
PORT O CONNOR  64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

ROCKPORT TX    34 15   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

GFMX 270N 960W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

GFMX 250N 960W 34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER REINHART                                                 

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