Issued at 1000 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025
199 WTNT32 KNHC 290232 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Two Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022025 1000 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025 ...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.7N 95.1W ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Gulf coast of Mexico from Boca de Catan southward to Tecolutla A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 95.1 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or two. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to make landfall along the Mexico coast Sunday night and move further inland on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some intensification is expected over the next day or so, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm before reaching the coast of Mexico. Weakening is expected after landfall, and the system is forecast to dissipate over eastern Mexico on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Two can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Two is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches, with maximum totals of 10 inches possible across the Mexican states of Veracruz, San Luis Potosi, and Tamaulipas. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical Storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area beginning Sunday afternoon. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven