Tropical Depression Twelve Forecast Advisory Number 1

By | September 29, 2024

900 
WTNT22 KNHC 292041
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  32.5W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  32.5W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  32.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.9N  33.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.2N  35.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.5N  38.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.0N  40.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.9N  41.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.4N  42.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE  90SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 20.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 95NE  90SE  65SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 150NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 22.5N  47.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  32.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN



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