Tropical Depression Three Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

By | July 22, 2019

Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 22 2019

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FONT13 KNHC 222032
PWSAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032019               
2100 UTC MON JUL 22 2019                                            
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                               
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
COCOA BEACH FL 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
FT PIERCE FL   34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
W PALM BEACH   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA   34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    

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