Tropical Depression Three Public Advisory Number 1

By | June 30, 2024

000
WTNT33 KNHC 302044
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032024
400 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF 
EASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 94.9W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from 
Cabo Rojo south to Puerto Veracruz.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo Rojo to Puerto Veracruz.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 
the next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 94.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
general motion should continue until it dissipates over eastern 
Mexico late Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected, and the cyclone is forecast to 
become a tropical storm before it reaches the coast later tonight.  
The system is expected to weaken and dissipate after it moves 
inland over eastern Mexico.

The estimated minimum central pressure reported by aircraft 
reconnaissance is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rainfall 
totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico into 
Monday, with localized maximum totals of 15 inches possible. This 
rainfall will result in areas of flooding, with mudslides possible 
in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Depression Three, please see the National 
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area 
later tonight.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

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