Tropical Depression Seven Forecast Advisory Number 8

By | September 13, 2024

133 
WTNT22 KNHC 130835
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072024
0900 UTC FRI SEP 13 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  38.2W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  38.2W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  37.7W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.4N  39.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.7N  41.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.8N  43.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.7N  45.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.5N  46.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N  48.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 19.2N  49.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 20.5N  50.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N  38.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



Leave a Reply