917 WTNT21 KNHC 220251 TCMAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162023 0300 UTC FRI SEP 22 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 75.3W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......210NE 0SE 0SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 75.3W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 75.3W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 31.2N 75.5W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...280NE 50SE 60SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 32.5N 76.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT...380NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 34.4N 76.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...380NE 120SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 36.4N 76.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...180NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 37.9N 76.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 39.0N 75.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 75.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 22/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG