Potential Tropical Cyclone One Forecast Advisory Number 5

By | June 18, 2024

000
WTNT21 KNHC 182031
TCMAT1

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012024
2100 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  92.7W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......360NE   0SE   0SW 360NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE   0SE   0SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  92.7W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  92.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.7N  93.9W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...360NE   0SE   0SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 23.0N  95.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...360NE   0SE   0SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.3N  97.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...360NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 23.3N 100.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N  92.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 19/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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