Potential Tropical Cyclone One Forecast Advisory Number 3

By | June 18, 2024

394 
WTNT21 KNHC 180847
TCMAT1

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012024
0900 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  93.0W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE   0SE   0SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  93.0W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  93.0W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N  93.1W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.7N  94.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 23.2N  96.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...250NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.3N  98.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...250NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 23.5N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N  93.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 18/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



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