Post-Tropical Cyclone Idalia Forecast Advisory Number 24

By | September 1, 2023

000
WTNT25 KNHC 011437
TCMAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
1500 UTC FRI SEP 01 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  67.9W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
34 KT.......210NE 150SE 170SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  67.9W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  68.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 31.3N  66.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE  70SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.9N  64.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...160NE   0SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.1N  63.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE  50SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 32.0N  61.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 33.5N  59.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 35.1N  58.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 38.3N  57.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 40.1N  57.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N  67.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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