Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine Public Advisory Number 17

By | September 12, 2024

000
WTNT31 KWNH 122035
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine Advisory Number  17
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL062024
400 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024

...FRANCINE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADO THREAT TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI, ALABAMA, GEORGIA, AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.8N 89.8W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES IN EFFECT:

Flood Watches and Wind Advisories are in effect for portions of the 
Southeast U.S near and southeast the path of Francine.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Francine was located near latitude 33.8 North, longitude 89.8 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15
km/h) and Francine is expected to turn move toward the northwest 
and slow down.

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Francine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Francine is expected to bring storm total rainfall of 4 to
8 inches across portions of Mississippi, eastern Arkansas,
Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. Localized
amounts of 12 inches are possible over portions of Alabama, the
Florida Panhandle, and Georgia. This rainfall could lead to
considerable flash and urban flooding.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Francine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero.  For a list of
rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see
the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41
KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html.

TORNADOES:  A few tornadoes are possible through this evening
across the Florida Panhandle, southern and central Alabama, and
southwest Georgia.

WIND:  Wind Advisories are in effect across portions of eastern
Arkansas, western and middle Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, and
northwest Georgia. A few gusts to tropical storm force are
possible.

SURF:  Swells generated by Francine should subside along the
northern Gulf coast through this evening. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Taylor/Lamers

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