Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory Number 16

By | October 9, 2024

000
WTNT24 KNHC 090241
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
0300 UTC WED OCT 09 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  86.5W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  915 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 150SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  86.5W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  86.9W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.7N  85.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.5N  83.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 27.9N  81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...230NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 28.5N  78.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 120SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...270NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.4N  72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 130SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 30.4N  65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 31.5N  57.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N  86.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 09/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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