Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory Number 11

By | October 7, 2024

000
WTNT24 KNHC 072056
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
2100 UTC MON OCT 07 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  90.8W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  905 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 155 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  25SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 210SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  90.8W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  91.3W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.9N  89.4W
MAX WIND 160 KT...GUSTS 195 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.7N  87.4W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  45SE  45SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.2N  85.6W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.1N  84.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  65SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.9N  82.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...210NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.2N  79.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  30SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...250NE 170SE 150SW 170NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 30.5N  71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...250NE 150SE 200SW 160NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 31.0N  65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE 120SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N  90.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 08/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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