Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory Number 10

By | October 7, 2024

000
WTNT24 KNHC 071452
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
1500 UTC MON OCT 07 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  91.7W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  933 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  25SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 210SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  91.7W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  92.2W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.5N  90.4W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  45SE  45SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.2N  88.3W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.6N  86.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  35SE  35SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  55SE  55SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N  84.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 27.7N  82.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 29.2N  80.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  30SE  60SW 110NW.
34 KT...250NE 160SE 120SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 30.8N  71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE   0SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...250NE 150SE 160SW 160NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 31.0N  66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...210NE  90SE 210SW 130NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N  91.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 07/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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