Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 31

By | October 10, 2024

000
WTNT23 KNHC 100241
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  49.3W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  25SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE  90SE 135SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  49.3W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  49.0W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.3N  49.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.4N  50.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.0N  50.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.4N  48.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  50SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.7N  45.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  50SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 33.0N  41.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  70SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 36.0N  31.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 37.1N  21.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N  49.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN


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