Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 16

By | October 6, 2024

017 
WTNT23 KNHC 060855
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
0900 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  37.3W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE 135SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  37.3W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  37.1W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.7N  38.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.9N  39.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.2N  41.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.5N  43.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.9N  45.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.2N  46.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 22.2N  49.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 24.0N  50.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  37.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART



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