Hurricane Franklin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25

By | August 26, 2023

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FONT13 KNHC 262044
PWSAT3

HURRICANE FRANKLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023               
2100 UTC SAT AUG 26 2023                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                         

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)  24(45)   3(48)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   2(13)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

GRAND TURK     34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KELLY/PASCH                                              

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