000
FONT15 KNHC 190843
PWSAT5
HURRICANE ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024
0900 UTC MON AUG 19 2024
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
40.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X 49(49) 40(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X 3( 3) 38(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 1 66(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 4 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BURGEO NFLD 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 14 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
