Hurricane Ernesto Forecast Advisory Number 33

By | August 19, 2024

000
WTNT25 KNHC 192035
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
2100 UTC MON AUG 19 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.8N  56.1W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 190SE 150SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 280SE 250SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.8N  56.1W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.9N  57.6W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 46.4N  51.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...150NE 190SE 160SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 49.2N  42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 200SE 160SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 51.5N  30.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 210SE 160SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 53.8N  18.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.8N  56.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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