Hurricane Ernesto Forecast Advisory Number 30

By | August 19, 2024

000
WTNT25 KNHC 190233
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
0300 UTC MON AUG 19 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  61.4W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 190SE 110SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 210SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  61.4W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N  62.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 40.9N  59.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  25SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 110SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 44.3N  54.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE 130SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 47.4N  46.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 170SE 150SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 50.0N  35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 170SE 170SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 52.5N  24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 170SE 130SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N  61.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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