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HURRICANE DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024
0900 UTC MON AUG 05 2024
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 3(16)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 6(14) 3(17)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 7(20) 3(23)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 14(19) 7(26) 3(29)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 15(21) 8(29) 3(32)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 14(23) 8(31) 4(35)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 8(12) 4(16) 2(18)
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 2( 3) 21(24) 9(33) 9(42) 5(47) 2(49)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 2(12)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 1 9(10) 36(46) 5(51) 5(56) 2(58) 1(59)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 3(15) X(15)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 13(13) 23(36) 3(39) 1(40) 2(42) 1(43)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 21 52(73) 7(80) X(80) 1(81) 1(82) 1(83)
KINGS BAY GA 50 1 18(19) 3(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) 1(25)
KINGS BAY GA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
WAYCROSS GA 34 28 44(72) 1(73) X(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74)
WAYCROSS GA 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 19 44(63) 6(69) X(69) 3(72) 1(73) X(73)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 1 12(13) 1(14) 1(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17)
MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
JACKSONVILLE 34 29 35(64) 2(66) X(66) 1(67) 1(68) X(68)
JACKSONVILLE 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) 1(96) X(96)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
THE VILLAGES 34 25 X(25) X(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) 1(27)
ORLANDO FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
PATRICK AFB 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
FT PIERCE FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
W PALM BEACH 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
VENICE FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 17 X(17) X(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
ST MARKS FL 34 50 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) 1(52)
APALACHICOLA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
ALBANY GA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
MACON GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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