611 FONT12 KNHC 012050 PWSAT2 HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 2100 UTC MON JUL 01 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 25(38) 2(40) COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 29(34) 1(35) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 15(29) X(29) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PT GALLINAS 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CURACAO 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 1(21) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 2(20) X(20) ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 55(60) 1(61) X(61) GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) X(29) X(29) GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 51(54) 17(71) X(71) X(71) MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) 18(36) X(36) X(36) MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 69(77) 6(83) X(83) X(83) KINGSTON 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 42(43) 5(48) X(48) X(48) KINGSTON 64 X X( X) X( X) 23(23) 5(28) X(28) X(28) LES CAYES 34 X 1( 1) 21(22) 9(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) LES CAYES 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LES CAYES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 3( 3) 26(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE BEATA 34 X 10(10) 47(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) CAPE BEATA 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) PONCE PR 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) AGUADILLA PR 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JUAN PR 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VIEQUES PR 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT THOMAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AVES 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT VINCENT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRENADA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER REINHART