000
FONT11 KNHC 191459
PWSAT1
TROPICAL STORM OSCAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024
1500 UTC SAT OCT 19 2024
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OSCAR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 17(21) 3(24) X(24)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 8(11) 5(16) X(16)
MAYAGUANA 34 1 10(11) 1(12) 1(13) 5(18) 5(23) X(23)
GRAND TURK 34 54 1(55) X(55) X(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
