Tropical Storm Milton Forecast Advisory Number 4

By | October 6, 2024

498 
WTNT24 KNHC 060845
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
0900 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  94.9W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  94.9W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  95.1W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.0N  94.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 22.9N  92.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 22.9N  91.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  15SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.4N  89.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.5N  87.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 26.0N  85.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 29.0N  80.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 130SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 31.0N  74.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...270NE 180SE 210SW 210NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N  94.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 06/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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