Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 8

By | October 4, 2024

335 
WTNT23 KNHC 040844
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
0900 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N  32.5W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N  32.5W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.7N  32.2W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 10.1N  33.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 10.5N  34.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 11.0N  36.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 11.8N  37.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.0N  38.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.5N  40.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 17.5N  43.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.3N  47.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.8N  32.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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