Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 5

By | October 3, 2024

000
WTNT23 KNHC 031437
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
1500 UTC THU OCT 03 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N  30.8W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N  30.8W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N  30.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 10.1N  31.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 10.4N  32.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 10.8N  34.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 11.4N  35.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 12.3N  37.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.3N  38.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 15.9N  41.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 18.6N  44.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N  30.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/E.ADAMS


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