ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 1500 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 42.9W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 42.9W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 42.4W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.8N 44.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.4N 46.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 80NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.8N 47.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.7N 48.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.6N 49.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.6N 49.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 23.9N 48.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 42.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI NNNN