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TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024
0300 UTC WED SEP 25 2024
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 12(20) X(20) X(20)
ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) X(16) X(16)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 38(38) 12(50) X(50) X(50)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 23(23) 22(45) X(45) X(45)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 39(39) 10(49) X(49) X(49)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 25(25) 8(33) X(33) X(33)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 52(54) 4(58) X(58) X(58)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20)
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 41(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46)
THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 27(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MARATHON FL 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) 4(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
KEY WEST FL 34 X 10(10) 18(28) 5(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
NAPLES FL 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 19(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 10(10) 14(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VENICE FL 34 X 1( 1) 27(28) 39(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
VENICE FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 16(16) 56(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 73(82) 2(84) X(84) X(84)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 56(56) 3(59) X(59) X(59)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 24(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 56(57) 17(74) X(74) X(74)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 22(22) 19(41) X(41) X(41)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 64(66) 11(77) X(77) X(77)
ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 32(32) 16(48) X(48) X(48)
ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) X(16) X(16)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 65(71) 5(76) X(76) X(76)
APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) 49(49) 9(58) X(58) X(58)
APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) 24(24) 8(32) X(32) X(32)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 11(11) 68(79) 2(81) X(81) X(81)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 64(65) 2(67) X(67) X(67)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) 38(38) 4(42) X(42) X(42)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 44(49) 9(58) X(58) X(58)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 27(27) 7(34) X(34) X(34)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 7(17) X(17) X(17)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ALBANY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 22(22) 37(59) X(59) X(59)
ALBANY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) X(21) X(21)
ALBANY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) X(29) X(29)
COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MACON GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 29(34) X(34) X(34)
MACON GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOTHAN AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 22(39) X(39) X(39)
DOTHAN AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13)
DOTHAN AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 19(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MERIDA MX 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COZUMEL MX 34 54 11(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
COZUMEL MX 50 26 4(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
COZUMEL MX 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BELIZE CITY 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GUANAJA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 80 10(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50 35 29(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
CP SAN ANTONIO 64 1 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HAVANA 34 3 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ISLE OF PINES 34 15 10(25) 5(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
