Tropical Storm Helene Forecast Advisory Number 6

By | September 24, 2024

000
WTNT24 KNHC 242057
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092024
2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  84.7W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  84.7W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  84.6W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.4N  86.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.7N  86.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 23.7N  86.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.0N  84.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  55SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.5N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE  70SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.5N  84.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 38.2N  89.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N  84.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 25/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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