Tropical Storm Helene Forecast Advisory Number 5

By | September 24, 2024

000
WTNT24 KNHC 241457
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092024
1500 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  84.3W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  84.3W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  83.7W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.3N  85.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.5N  86.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.2N  86.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.9N  85.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.7N  84.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 220SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 33.9N  83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE  30SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 39.7N  86.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  84.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 24/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


Leave a Reply