000 FONT11 KNHC 102038 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062024 2100 UTC TUE SEP 10 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 8( 8) 7(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) MOBILE AL 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GULFPORT MS 34 X 7( 7) 27(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) STENNIS MS 34 X 10(10) 41(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) STENNIS MS 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BURAS LA 34 1 20(21) 23(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) BURAS LA 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 890W 34 4 29(33) 6(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JACKSON MS 34 X 5( 5) 19(24) 10(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 26(27) 47(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X 2( 2) 23(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HOUMA LA 34 1 55(56) 29(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) HOUMA LA 50 X 15(15) 26(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) HOUMA LA 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 34 9 72(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X 29(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BATON ROUGE LA 34 1 30(31) 51(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X 3( 3) 25(28) X(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MORGAN CITY LA 34 2 64(66) 25(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X 22(22) 31(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 1 7( 8) 14(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) LAFAYETTE LA 34 1 49(50) 26(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X 6( 6) 17(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEW IBERIA LA 34 2 61(63) 21(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X 14(14) 21(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 54 45(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 930W 50 5 83(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) GFMX 280N 930W 64 1 48(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FORT POLK LA 34 1 7( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) LAKE CHARLES 34 1 24(25) 8(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) CAMERON LA 34 6 55(61) 4(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) CAMERON LA 50 X 12(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) CAMERON LA 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) JASPER TX 34 1 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KOUNTZE TX 34 1 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 2 13(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) GALVESTON TX 34 8 17(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) GALVESTON TX 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HOUSTON TX 34 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FREEPORT TX 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 280N 950W 34 53 9(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) GFMX 280N 950W 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 2 12(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) MATAGORDA TX 34 7 6(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PORT O CONNOR 34 6 5(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ROCKPORT TX 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 40 3(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) HARLINGEN TX 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 250N 960W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN